No sign of impending major earthquake in Israel, but issue hard to predict — experts
No abnormal seismic activity in Israel amid Turkey, Syria quakes but Geological Survey head can’t be definitive: ‘All the tectonic plates touch one another, but systems so complex’ (excerpt)
Ron Avni, an earthquake studies lecturer at Ben-Gurion University of the Negev in Beersheba, said that since the East Anatolian Fault, along which Monday’s two massive quakes took place, is connected to the Syrian African Rift, any big tremor in the former could — but also could not — trigger a major one in the latter, which would affect Israel.
Avni said: “The mechanisms aren’t understood well enough. Our knowledge is empirical — it’s based on what we know about previous earthquakes.”
“We know about plate tectonics. But it is impossible to predict exactly when the big one will occur in Israel.”
In February last year, the Geological Survey of Israel unveiled cutting-edge technology capable of sensing the first sign of an earthquake and having the Home Front Command send out an alert within ten seconds.
A press briefing to announce the new system was brought forward in February 2022 after a 3.7-magnitude quake centered in the Jordan Valley shook Israel the month before.
Called TRUAA and based on a system developed at Berkley University in California that went live in 2019, the NIS 45 million ($14 million) early warning system had put Israel on a par with a small number of other nations such as the US, Taiwan and Japan.
Full article at https://www.timesofisrael.com/no-sign-of-impending-major-earthquake-in-israel-but-issue-hard-to-predict-experts/
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