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23 June 2025

Mordechai Sones: " a Hunk of Debris..."

thoroughly fascinating


The Samaria Wreckage: How a Hunk of Debris Unveiled Iran’s Newest Superweapon

The field where the debris landed was a calculated drop zone for a jettisoned booster

It landed with a cacophony that echoed across the rocky hillsides, a colossal metal cylinder baking in the Middle Eastern sun. On the morning of June 19, residents in central Samaria awoke to a startling sight: a piece of debris the size of a bus, lying askew in a field of dry grass. It was the latest piece of wreckage to fall from the sky in a week that had seen the skies over Israel and Judea and Samaria crisscrossed by the fiery trails of hundreds of ballistic missiles and interceptors.

In the midst of a devastating missile exchange between Iran and Israel, this single piece of metal, found far from the intended targets in Tel Aviv or Beersheba, became an unlikely Rosetta Stone. Its analysis would provide a definitive answer to a question on the minds of military strategists from Washington to Tehran: Had Iran finally unleashed its most advanced and dangerous strategic weapon?

The story of this wreckage is a detective story, pieced together from visual clues on the object itself, the basic physics of rocketry, and carefully timed announcements by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). It is the story of how analysts confirmed the combat debut of the Sejjil, a missile that represents a quantum leap in Iran’s military capabilities and fundamentally alters the strategic calculus of the Middle East.

Clue #1: The English on the Casing

At first glance, the most puzzling feature of the debris was the stenciled text clearly visible on its metallic skin. In crisp, black, capital letters, the markings read “CLAMP HERE” and “SUPPORT HERE”—instructions written in English.

For the layman, this might suggest a foreign origin, a weapon supplied to Iran by a Western power. But for missile experts, it was anything but surprising. The presence of English on Iranian ordnance is a known, if counterintuitive, phenomenon rooted in the history of Iran’s arms industry and the realities of global manufacturing.

There are three primary reasons for this: Munitions sold on the international market are often labeled in English, the de facto language of global commerce and engineering. These markings, which include serial numbers, factory codes, and manufacturing dates, are crucial for inventory management and quality control.

Furthermore, Iran’s ballistic missile program was not born in a vacuum. It was built on a foundation of foreign technology, beginning with Soviet-era Scud missiles acquired from North Korea and Libya in the 1980s. When reverse-engineering these systems, it is often more efficient to retain the original labeling conventions than to create an entirely new Farsi-based nomenclature. A striking precedent was found in Iran’s own nuclear archives, where a captured schematic for a Shahab-3 re-entry vehicle explicitly labeled the spherical payload with the English word “sphere”.

Finally, even as its domestic industry has matured, Iran remains reliant on a global network for critical dual-use components like advanced carbon fiber and servo motors, often procured from China. These parts frequently arrive with their original English markings and are integrated directly into the final missile assembly.

The English text, therefore, was not a contradiction of the missile’s Iranian origin. It was a fingerprint, pointing to a complex history of reverse-engineering and global procurement.

Clue #2: The Science of Falling Objects

The next clue was the object’s sheer size and condition. It was a massive, largely intact cylinder. This was inconsistent with the debris from a missile that had been catastrophically destroyed by an interceptor. A direct hit on a warhead or main body would have resulted in disintegration into countless smaller fragments.

This pointed to a different conclusion, one grounded in the basic principles of missile staging. Long-range ballistic missiles are often built in multiple stages. The first stage, or “booster,” is the largest and heaviest part, containing the powerful rocket motor needed to lift the entire missile off the launchpad and propel it to the edge of space. Once its fuel is expended, this massive stage separates from the smaller second stage (which carries the warhead) and tumbles back to Earth along a predictable arc.

The “bus-sized” object in Samaria was not the result of a failed missile; it was the result of a successful first-stage burn and separation. The location was also telling. Samaria lies directly under the flight path for missiles launched from western Iran towards the strategic heart of Israel. The field where the debris landed was a calculated drop zone for a jettisoned booster.

This narrowed the list of suspects considerably. The debris could not have come from Iran’s workhorse single-stage missiles, like the liquid-fueled Shahab-3 or the heavy-hitting Khorramshahr. Those missiles do not have a booster to jettison. The culprit had to be one of Iran’s more advanced, two-stage systems.

The Smoking Gun: A Timely Confession

Two primary candidates emerged: the Fattah, a newer hypersonic missile, and the Sejjil, a powerful two-stage, solid-fuel missile that has been in development for over a decade. Both are two-stage systems capable of producing such debris.

The final, definitive clue came not from the wreckage itself, but from Tehran. On June 18 and 19, as Israeli emergency services were cordoning off debris fields in Samaria, the IRGC made a landmark announcement through state-affiliated media. As part of its “Operation True Promise 3,” it had, for the first time ever, launched its Sejjil long-range ballistic missiles in a combat operation against Israel.

The timing was significant. The discovery of a massive first-stage booster, perfectly matching the description of the Sejjil’s, occurred at the exact moment Iran was boasting of the missile’s combat debut. The debris in Samaria was, with high confidence, the first-stage booster of an Iranian Sejjil missile.

Why the Sejjil Changes Everything

The confirmation of the Sejjil’s use is far more than a technical footnote in the ongoing conflict. It represents a profound and dangerous evolution in Iran’s strategic threat. For decades, Iran’s primary long-range deterrent has been its arsenal of liquid-fueled missiles like the Shahab-3 and its variants. While potent, these weapons have a critical vulnerability: they are slow. They must be laboriously filled with volatile liquid propellants on the launch pad, a process that can take hours and is easily observable by enemy satellites, making them prime targets for pre-emptive strikes.

The Sejjil, with its solid-fuel propulsion, shatters that limitation. Solid-fuel missiles are the ballistic equivalent of a rifle cartridge. They can be stored fully fueled for years, moved on mobile launchers, and fired with as little as 30 minutes’ notice. This gives Iran a survivable, rapid-response capability, allowing it to hide its launchers and engage in “shoot-and-scoot” tactics that are nearly impossible to counter before launch.

The decision to finally use the Sejjil was a deliberate signal from Tehran to Israel and the United States. It was a declaration that Iran’s missile force is no longer a slow, vulnerable asset but a flexible and resilient one. With a range of over 2,000 kilometers, the Sejjil can strike any target in Israel, as well as U.S. bases throughout the region, directly from launchers hidden deep within Iranian territory.

The conflict of June 2025 has been defined by its scale and intensity. Iran has launched over 350 ballistic missiles and hundreds of drones, targeting population centers and critical infrastructure. It has deployed missiles with advanced cluster munition warheads designed to saturate defenses. While Israel’s multi-layered defense shield, bolstered by U.S. assets, is claimed to be remarkably effective, reportedly intercepting 80 to 90 percent of the threats, the sheer volume has ensured that some get through, causing dozens of fatalities and widespread damage. The wreckage in the Samarian field is a stark symbol of this new reality. Even a successful interception of a missile like the Sejjil means its massive, bus-sized booster may fall back to Earth, posing a significant hazard in its own right.

The debris was not just a piece of a missile; it was a calling card from a more dangerous and technologically advanced Iran, announcing its arrival on the battlefield and raising the stakes in a conflict with no end in sight.

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