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16 April 2023

Look How a Weather Report Gets Political

 

Israel’s total rainfall normal, despite dry start; cold promises late floral show

Ecologist recommends hitting southern deserts for a colorful display in mid-May, with rainfall there three times last year’s amount

People who want to take a wildflower hike after much of the country’s vegetation has already succumbed to the heat may want to plan a trip to Paran in the southern desert — one of the driest parts of the country —  which this season received three times its annual rainfall.

That’s the recommendation of Emeritus Prof. Avi Shmida, an evolutionary ecologist from Jerusalem’s Hebrew University, as he reviewed the effects of the cold and rain that have intermittently pummeled the country over the last couple of months.

This year, like last year, the cold caused delayed flowering.

By contrast, warmer winters during the past decade saw relatively early flowering, Shmida pointed out.

Studies have shown the long-term trend in Israel to be one of warming temperatures due to climate change.

According to the Bible, the desiccated wilderness of Paran is where the *slave Hagar wandered with her baby, Ishmael, after Abram (later Abraham) sent her into exile. It’s also an area where the Israelites spent part of their 40 years of meandering after the Exodus from Egypt. [**correction: Ishmael was not a baby, he was 13 years older than Yitzchak, who he taunted as a youth. very deceptive.]

According to the Israel Meteorological Service data, Paran’s rainfall between October 25 and April 14 is up 311 percent compared with the same period last year.

“Paran will be a blast (for flora lovers) in mid-May,” predicted Shmida, who also noted that this year, like last year, cold snaps in February and March have delayed wildflower blooming.

“The Negev desert will be sensational in another month – from Mitzpe Ramon southward, throughout the Arava,” Shmida said.

In Jerusalem, red turban buttercups — which normally flower in mid-March — can still be found on (cooler) north-facing slopes, for example in Emek Arazim (Cedar Valley), Shmida said.

The mandrake flowered two weeks late, he added.

[…]

Israel Meteorological Service figures show that to date, this winter’s rain has hovered around annual averages in Jerusalem and the northern Negev Desert and exceeded those averages in Sdom (131%) and Hatzeva (205%) in the southern desert. It reached 225% in the Red Sea resort of Eilat.

However, central and northern coastal areas, and the north of the country, have been drier than usual, scoring 69% in Deir Hanna in the Lower Galilee, 75% in Safed, and 76% in both Haifa on the northern coast and Ramat Hasharon next to Tel Aviv.

Dr. Amos Porat, director of Climate Services at the Israel Meteorological Service, noted that while this month’s rains have been particularly heavy, they were not abnormally so. [personally, the deluge of water on my porch and my neighbor’s porch was overwhelming and continued to flow from off the roof]

“This kind of year isn’t strange – it’s happened before,” he said. “There are days with heavier rain, but nothing you can say is a pattern. It’s still behaving in a relatively normal way.”

An IMS study published in February 2021 found that over three periods examined during the past 90 years, total rainfall had remained much the same, although distribution patterns had changed.

The Golan Heights and the eastern Galilee were receiving less rain, the report said, while the western Galilee and the southern coastal plain were becoming wetter.

The researchers also found a gradual lessening of rain in November and a gradual increase in January and February.

A separate study, on heavy rainfall between 1951 and 2021, published in February last year analyzed data from 58 rain stations across the country, noting a “tendency” for an increase in heavy rain events in most areas, although this was only statistically significant in the northwest.

The current winter saw relatively little rain during October, December, and January, with rain in November slightly below average. Rain fell during the end of January and early February, and over much of March, starting up again with storms in the second week of April.


Jewish ignorance can be found everywhere.  I wonder what else is incorrect. Read more at https://www.timesofisrael.com/israels-total-rainfall-normal-despite-dry-start-cold-promises-late-floral-show/ 

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* Hagar was an Egyptian Princess, she learned wisdom from Sarah Imeinu. But when she became pregnant before Sarah, she became haughty. She was not a slave!

** Ishmael was not a baby! see https://www.chabad.org/library/bible_cdo/aid/8216/jewish/Chapter-21.htm

3 comments:

Dan G said...

Sadly, that's the Torah that they teach in the secular elementary schools in Israel (at least it was so when I learned there, nowadays it's probably much worse). No wonder you'll find this ignorance everywhere.

Moshiach will have a lot of work to do...

Anonymous said...

True, they rewrite everything to fit their agendas.
Also, not only was Yishmael a young teenager, but Avram received his new name and Sarai received her new name long before when H' showed Avraham Avinu the Land promised to him and his descendants by Hashem.
These apikorsim need to make the words fit their goals.
There is also something that everyone should by now understand, the climate is always changing and there are cyclical periods when we see from recent and old history the same patterns.
Now, we see more of all the changes which seem to be in a one lump period because we are getting closer & closer to Geulah. Climate is totally from Hashem! H' Controls everything and what we call nature is G-D's forces of nature.

Neshama said...

Dan G: this is more like I remember(and we did have drought conditions), related by Reb Neuberger:

It has been a strange winter in the Land of Israel.
There was a frightening lack of rain the first few months of the rainy season.
Then around Chanukah came two weeks of heavy rain.
Following that, more drought, but in Mid-March about ten days of downpours.
Following that, more drought, but – amazingly! – at the end of Pesach, after the “end” of the rainy season, there were several days of torrential rain.
This year northern Israel received less than normal rainfall, but parts of the “arid” south received more than three times the average!

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